Florida’s Housing Market for 3Q 2007: Sales Activity Remains Soft

ORLANDO, Fla., Nov. 21 /PRNewswire/ — In third quarter 2007, Florida’s housing sector in many markets continued to report high inventory levels of homes for sale, median prices edging down and sales activity levels that reflect the impact of mortgage disruptions and tighter lending standards.

Statewide, sales of single-family existing homes totaled 31,910 during the three-month period, a decrease of 29 percent compared to 44,776 homes sold during the same time a year earlier, according to the Florida Association of Realtors(R) (FAR).

The statewide existing-home median sales price was $232,100 in the third quarter; a year ago, it was $246,800 for a decrease of 6 percent. In 2002, the third-quarter statewide median sales price was $141,300, which reflects an increase of about 64.3 percent over the five-year period. The median is a typical market price where half the homes sold for more, half for less.

As the impact of the credit crunch subsides, a modest recovery for existing-home sales is expected in 2008, according to the National Association of Realtors(R)'(NAR) latest market outlook. “Over the near term, home sales are likely to be fairly flat as the lingering impact of the credit crunch filters through the system through the end of the year,” says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “In some ways, the extended real estate boom from 2001 to 2005 created unrealistic expectations that housing is a short-term, high- yield investment. 2007 will be the fifth best year for housing on record.”

Continuing low mortgage rates remain another positive influence on the housing market. According to Freddie Mac, the national commitment rate for a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.55 percent in third quarter 2007; one year earlier, it averaged 6.65 percent.

Looking to Florida's existing condominium market, sales of existing condos also decreased during the quarter, with a total of 9,622 condos sold statewide compared to 13,028 in third quarter 2007 for a 26 percent decline, according to FAR. The statewide median sales price for condos for the three-month period was $196,300; a year ago, it was $205,000 for a 4 percent decrease.

Among the state's larger markets, the Jacksonville metropolitan statistical area (MSA) reported 3,105 existing homes sold for the quarter compared to 4,173 homes sold a year earlier for a decrease of 26 percent. The market's existing-home median sales price was $196,700; a year earlier, it was $204,500 for a 4 percent decline. A total of 392 existing condos sold in the market over the three-month period, down 12 percent from third quarter 2006, while the existing-condo median price decreased 8 percent to $163,500.

Hank Oltmanns, president of the Northeast Florida Association of Realtors and broker-owner of A Broker's Choice Realty, says, “Buying a home remains one of the best decisions you can make as a long-term investment that also provides security and stability for your family.”

The Panama City MSA, one of the smaller markets in the state, reported that 369 homes changed hands in the third quarter, a decrease of 8 percent compared to 401 homes sold a year earlier. Over the same period, the market's existing-home median home price was $202,800; a year earlier, it was $211,300 for a 4 percent decline. A total of 127 existing condos sold in the Panama City MSA during the third quarter, an increase of 38 percent from the previous year, while the existing-condo median price decreased 13 percent to $252,100.

“Homeownership continues to be a wise, long-term investment,” says Scott Bowman, president of the Bay County Association of Realtors and a broker-sales manager with Prudential Shimmering Sands Realty. “Financing remains available, with very favorable mortgage rates for qualified buyers with good credit. Now more than ever, people gain confidence in working with a Realtor — an experienced professional who can help them navigate the complex challenges of today's market.”

Two charts showing statistics for Florida and its MSAs are attached. One chart compares the volume of existing, single-family home sales and median sales prices in the third quarter of 2007 to the third quarter of 2006, based on Realtor closed transactions from local Realtor boards/associations within the MSAs. The second chart compares the volume of existing condo sales and median sales prices in third quarter 2007 to third quarter 2006, based on Realtor closed transactions from local Realtor boards/associations within the MSAs.

The Florida Association of Realtors (FAR), the voice for real estate in Florida, provides programs, services, continuing education, research and legislative representation to its 150,000 members in 67 boards/associations.
                   Florida Sales Report – 3rd Quarter 2007
                        Single-Family, Existing Homes

                             Realtor Sales           Median Sales Price
    Statewide &
    Metropolitan
    Statistical       3rd Qrtr.  3rd Qrtr.  %     3rd Qrtr.  3rd Qrtr.   %
    Areas (MSAs)        2007       2006    Chge     2007       2006     Chge

    STATEWIDE* (1)     31,910    44,776    -29    $232,100   $246,800    -6
    Daytona Beach       1,649     2,130    -23    $199,700   $211,800    -6
    Fort Lauderdale     1,498     2,164    -31    $364,400   $371,100    -2
    Fort Myers-Cape
     Coral              1,273     2,078    -39    $243,800   $263,400    -7
    Fort Pierce-Port
     St. Lucie            916     1,123    -18    $218,300   $252,000   -13
    Fort Walton Beach     630       779    -19    $224,300   $235,000    -5
    Gainesville           724       807    -10    $207,300   $215,200    -4
    Jacksonville        3,105     4,173    -26    $196,700   $204,500    -4
    Lakeland-Winter
     Haven                790     1,271    -38    $170,400   $176,200    -3
    Melbourne-
     Titusville-Palm
     Bay                1,192     1,625    -27    $196,500   $215,400    -9
    Miami               1,250     2,137    -42    $380,400   $377,700     1
    Naples-Marco
     Island* (2)           77        83     -7    $519,800   $532,000    -2
    Ocala                 621     1,322    -53    $161,100   $172,200    -6
    Orlando             4,005     6,517    -39    $247,700   $264,200    -6
    Panama City           369       401     -8    $202,800   $211,300    -4
    Pensacola           1,151     1,324    -13    $168,800   $168,800     –
    Punta Gorda           597       786    -24    $178,600   $217,500   -18
    Sarasota-Bradenton  2,084     2,195     -5    $283,800   $301,800    -6
    Tallahassee         1,082     1,405    -23    $174,400   $177,100    -2
    Tampa-St.
     Petersburg-
     Clearwater(3)      5,913     8,703    -32    $210,700   $228,900    -8
    West Palm Beach-
     Boca Raton         1,644     1,935    -15    $365,400   $380,900    -4

    (1) *Statewide figure includes data from the Naples Board of Realtors.
    (2) *Data is only from the Marco Island Association of Realtors.
    (3) Data from the Hernando County Association of Realtors now included in
        the totals from 2006 and 2007.
Editor's note: Sales numbers represent totals of Realtors' closed transactions from local Realtor boards/associations within the MSAs.

    This information is based on a survey of MLS sales levels from Florida's
Realtor boards/associations. MSAs are defined by the 2000 Census. Source:
Florida Association of Realtors and the University of Florida Real Estate
Research Center.

                   Florida Sales Report – 3rd Quarter 2007
                            Existing Condominiums

                            Realtor Sales            Median Sales Price
    Statewide &
    Metropolitan      3rd Qrtr.  3rd Qrtr.  %     3rd Qrtr.  3rd Qrtr.   %
    Statistical         2007       2006    Chge     2007       2006     Chge
    Areas (MSAs)

    STATEWIDE* (1)      9,622    13,028    -26    $196,300   $205,000    -4
    Daytona Beach         261       292    -11    $277,500   $242,600    14
    Fort Lauderdale     1,510     2,047    -26    $181,300   $206,400   -12
    Fort Myers-Cape
     Coral                327       447    -27    $225,000   $275,500   -18
    Fort Pierce-Port
     St. Lucie            152       194    -22    $183,600   $213,800   -14
    Fort Walton Beach     157       125     26    $344,300   $278,800    23
    Gainesville           358       478    -25    $154,600   $156,300    -1
    Jacksonville          392       445    -12    $163,500   $177,500    -8
    Lakeland-Winter
     Haven                 36        68    -47    $100,000   $126,700   -21
    Melbourne-
     Titusville-Palm
     Bay                  294       325    -10    $184,700   $203,700    -9
    Miami               1,290     2,264    -43    $272,000   $258,200     5
    Naples-Marco
     Island* (2)           90       103    -13    $354,500   $397,400   -11
    Ocala (3)             N/A       N/A    N/A         N/A        N/A   N/A
    Orlando               474     1,118    -58    $154,100   $166,700    -8
    Panama City           127        92     38    $252,100   $290,000   -13
    Pensacola             133       127      5    $297,500   $161,700    84
    Punta Gorda            50       120    -58    $163,300   $170,000    -4
    Sarasota-Bradenton    732       634     15    $241,700   $242,300     –
    Tallahassee           105       183    -43    $140,500   $141,300    -1
    Tampa-St.
     Petersburg-
     Clearwater(4)      1,507     1,919    -21    $168,900   $165,300     2
    West Palm Beach-
     Boca Raton         1,235     1,528    -19    $190,800   $224,000   -15

    (1) *Statewide figure includes data from the Naples Board of Realtors.
    (2) *Data is only from the Marco Island Association of Realtors.
    (3) Data from the Ocala-Marion County Association of Realtors was not
        available.
    (4) Data from the Hernando County Association of Realtors now included in
        the totals from 2006 and 2007.
Editor's note: Sales numbers represent totals of Realtors' closed transactions from local Realtor boards/associations within the MSAs.

This information is based on a survey of MLS sales levels from Florida's Realtor boards/associations. MSAs are defined by the 2000 Census. Source: Florida Association of Realtors and the University of Florida Real Estate Research Center.

Editor's Note: You may wish to use this information with today's release from the National Association of Realtors.

SOURCE Florida Association of Realtors(R)

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